VU
Velvet Scoter Melanitta fusca



Taxonomy

Taxonomic source(s)
del Hoyo, J., Collar, N.J., Christie, D.A., Elliott, A. and Fishpool, L.D.C. 2014. HBW and BirdLife International Illustrated Checklist of the Birds of the World. Volume 1: Non-passerines. Lynx Edicions BirdLife International, Barcelona, Spain and Cambridge, UK.

IUCN Red List criteria met and history
Red List criteria met
Critically Endangered Endangered Vulnerable
- - A2abcde

Red List history
Year Category Criteria
2020 Vulnerable A2abcde
2018 Vulnerable A2abcde+3cde+4bcde
2016 Vulnerable A2abcde+3cde+4bcde
2015 Vulnerable A2abcde+3cde+4bcde
2013 Endangered A2bcde+3cde+4bcde
2012 Endangered A2bcde+3cde+4bcde
2008 Not Recognised
2004 Not Recognised
2000 Not Recognised
1994 Not Recognised
1988 Not Recognised
Species attributes

Migratory status full migrant Forest dependency low
Land-mass type Average mass 1,757 g
Range

Estimate Data quality
Extent of Occurrence (breeding/resident) 14,900,000 km2 medium
Extent of Occurrence (non-breeding) 9,340,000 km2 medium
Severely fragmented? no -
Population
Estimate Data quality Derivation Year of estimate
Population size 141000-268000 mature individuals medium estimated 2020
Population trend decreasing - estimated 2003-2021
Rate of change over the past 10 years/3 generations (longer of the two periods) 32-45,32% - - -
Rate of change over the future 10 years/3 generations (longer of the two periods) 0-25% - - -
Rate of change over the past & future 10 years/3 generations (longer of the two periods) 25-29% - - -
Generation length 6.2 years - - -

Population justification: Population data supplied the to the European Commission (EC) in late 2019 by Member States under Article 12 of the EU Birds Directive totalled 202,000-384,000 individuals. Based on previous estimates (e.g. BirdLife International 2015; Wetlands International 2020), >95% of the global population winters in the Baltic and adjacent NW Europe, so it is reasonable to assume that this is still the case. The population that winters in the Black and Caspian Seas appears to be rapidly disappearing (Paposhvili 2018), most recently estimated at 240-420 individuals (Wetlands International 2020). The total population of Velvet Scoter is now estimated at 210,000-400,000 individuals (BirdLife International in prep.). This is assumed to roughly equate to 141,000-268,000 mature individuals.

Trend justification: An apparent rapid decline of c. 60% was estimated from wintering numbers in the Baltic Sea, which fell from c. 933,000 in 1992-1993 (Skov et al. 2011) to c. 373,000 individuals in 2007-2009. Extrapolation of the data implied that this was equivalent to a decline of c.70% over the past three generations, estimated at 18.6 years (based on a generation length of c. 6.2 years, using methods in Bird et al. [2020]). The Baltic Sea is the most important wintering area in the world for this species, holding c.93% of the global population in 1992-1993. It seemed unlikely that the proportion of the total north-west European wintering population present in the Baltic has dropped from 93% to 37% (see Skov et al. 2011), thus a very rapid decline had probably taken place. Subsequently the wintering numbers appear to have stabilised (BirdLife International in prep., M. Ellermaa in litt. 2020, N. Markones in litt. 2020, S. Nagy in litt. 2020), with recent totals estimated at 202,000-384,000 (BirdLife International in prep.) and 320,000-550,000 (Dagys & Hearn 2018). 

Evidence for rapid declines in the 1990s followed by an apparent stabilisation was also supplied by migration counts in the Baltic, including a long term decline in numbers passing Hanko Bird Observatory, Estonia, in autumn (at a rate of c. 50% over 30 years), which stopped in 1995 (M. Ellermaa in litt. 2012) and numbers have been largely stable since (M. Ellermaa in litt. 2020). Similarly, numbers passing Vyborg (eastern Gulf of Finland) decreased from an average of 130 birds/hour in 1988-1994, to 55 birds/hour in 1995-1999, and 53 birds/hour in 2000-2008, although error margins may be considerable (J. Kontiokorpi in litt. 2012, A. Lehikoinen et alin litt. 2012). Numbers recorded at Söderskär Bird Observatory have also been decreasing since the 1980s (A. Lehikoinen et alin litt. 2012).

The breeding population in the EU is estimated to have declined by approximately 30% over the past three generations (BirdLife International in prep.), and the population in the Caucasus appears close to extinction (Paposhvili 2018). The European Russian breeding population is thought to have declined by 50-80% since 1980 (Krivenko & Vinogradov 2008), which is consistent with the c. 60% decline recorded by Skov et al. (2011), although the recent Russian breeding trend is unknown (Voltzit & Kalyakin 2019).

It is therefore estimated that a very rapid decline occurred between 1992 and 2009, the majority of which likely occurred prior to 2002. Even with rough stability in the wintering population since 2009, a three generation past decline is estimated at 32-46%, but is suspected the rate will fall below 30% in following years. Future decline rates are uncertain but suspected to be moderate to moderately rapid.


Country/territory distribution
Country/Territory Presence Origin Resident Breeding visitor Non-breeding visitor Passage migrant
Afghanistan extant vagrant
Algeria extant vagrant
Armenia extant native yes
Austria extant native yes
Azerbaijan extant native yes
Belarus extant native yes
Belgium extant native yes
Bosnia and Herzegovina extant vagrant
Bulgaria extant native yes
Croatia extant native yes
Czechia extant native yes
Denmark extant native yes yes
Egypt extant vagrant
Estonia extant native yes yes
Faroe Islands (to Denmark) extant vagrant
Finland extant native yes yes
France extant native yes yes
Georgia extant native yes
Germany extant native yes yes
Greece extant vagrant yes
Greenland (to Denmark) extant vagrant
Hungary extant native yes
Iceland extant vagrant
Iran, Islamic Republic of extant native yes
Ireland extant native yes
Israel extant vagrant
Italy extant native yes
Kazakhstan extant native yes
Kyrgyzstan extant vagrant
Latvia extant native yes
Lebanon extant vagrant
Lithuania extant native yes
Luxembourg extant vagrant
Montenegro extant native yes
Morocco extant vagrant
Netherlands extant native yes
North Macedonia extant vagrant
Norway extant native yes yes
Pakistan extant vagrant
Poland extant native yes yes
Portugal extant vagrant
Romania extant native yes yes
Russia extant native yes yes yes
Russia (Central Asian) extant native yes yes
Russia (European) extant native yes yes
Serbia extant native yes
Slovakia extant native yes
Slovenia extant native yes
Spain extant native yes
Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands (to Norway) extant vagrant
Sweden extant native yes
Switzerland extant native yes
Tajikistan extant vagrant
Türkiye extant native yes
Turkmenistan extant native
Ukraine extant native yes
United Kingdom extant native yes
Uzbekistan extant native

Important Bird and Biodiversity Areas (IBA)
Country/Territory IBA Name
Denmark Northern Kattegat
Denmark Rønne Banke
Denmark Sejerø Bay and Nekselø
Estonia Central Part of the Gulf of Finland
Estonia Eastern Gulf of Finland
Estonia Eastern part of the Gulf of Riga
Estonia Hiiumaa North
Estonia Hiiumaa West
Estonia Irbe strait
Estonia Northern part of the Gulf of Riga
Estonia Nõva-Osmussaar
Estonia Pärnu bay (NEW)
Estonia Ruhnu
Estonia Saaremaa South
Estonia Uhtju
Estonia Väinameri
Finland Merenkurkku archipelago
Finland Närpiö-Korsnäs sea banks
Finland Shallowbanks of Uusikaupunki archipelago
France Baie des Veys et Marais du Cotentin
France Estuaire et embouchure de la Seine
France Estuaires picards : baies de Somme et d'Authie
France Littoral Augeron
Germany Pomeranian bay
Latvia Gulf of Riga, west coast
Lithuania Marine waters along the Curonian Spit
Montenegro Bojana Delta
Netherlands Delta Coast
Netherlands Wadden Coast
Netherlands Wadden Sea
Norway Altaelvmunningen
Norway Balsfjord
Norway Dovrefjell
Norway Gaulosen
Norway Hardangervidda
Norway Inner Porsangerfjord
Norway Lista wetland system
Norway Ørlandet
Norway Saltstraumen & Skjerstadfjorden
Norway Stjørdalsfjord
Norway Varangerfjord (including Hornøya and Reinøya)
Norway Været
Poland Central Polish coastal waters
Poland East Border Waters
Poland Pomeranian bay
Russia (European) Berezoviye islands of Vyborg Bay
Russia (European) Petrocrepost' Bay
Sweden Archipelago of Stockholm
Sweden Holmöarna Archipelago
Türkiye Akdoğan Mountain
Türkiye Aygır Lake
Türkiye Balık Lake
Türkiye Eastern Black Sea Mountains
Türkiye Giresun Island
Türkiye Kızılırmak Delta
Türkiye Nemrut Volcano
Türkiye Sakarya Delta
Türkiye Yeşilırmak Delta
United Kingdom Bae Caerfyrddin/Carmarthen Bay
United Kingdom Firth of Forth
United Kingdom Moray Basin, Firths and Bays
United Kingdom Scapa Flow

Habitats & altitude
Habitat (level 1) Habitat (level 2) Importance Occurrence
Forest Boreal suitable breeding
Grassland Tundra suitable breeding
Marine Neritic Macroalgal/Kelp major non-breeding
Marine Neritic Seagrass (Submerged) major non-breeding
Marine Neritic Subtidal Loose Rock/pebble/gravel major non-breeding
Marine Neritic Subtidal Rock and Rocky Reefs major non-breeding
Marine Neritic Subtidal Sandy major non-breeding
Marine Neritic Subtidal Sandy-Mud major non-breeding
Wetlands (inland) Permanent Freshwater Lakes (over 8ha) major breeding
Altitude   Occasional altitudinal limits  

Threats & impact
Threat (level 1) Threat (level 2) Impact and Stresses
Biological resource use Fishing & harvesting aquatic resources - Unintentional effects: (large scale) [harvest] Timing Scope Severity Impact
Ongoing Majority (50-90%) Slow, Significant Declines Medium Impact: 6
Stresses
Species mortality
Biological resource use Hunting & trapping terrestrial animals - Intentional use (species is the target) Timing Scope Severity Impact
Ongoing Minority (<50%) Negligible declines Low Impact: 4
Stresses
Species mortality
Climate change & severe weather Habitat shifting & alteration Timing Scope Severity Impact
Ongoing Whole (>90%) Unknown Unknown
Stresses
Indirect ecosystem effects, Ecosystem degradation
Climate change & severe weather Other impacts Timing Scope Severity Impact
Ongoing Whole (>90%) Slow, Significant Declines Medium Impact: 7
Stresses
Indirect ecosystem effects, Ecosystem degradation
Energy production & mining Mining & quarrying Timing Scope Severity Impact
Ongoing Minority (<50%) Negligible declines Low Impact: 4
Stresses
Species disturbance, Ecosystem degradation
Energy production & mining Oil & gas drilling Timing Scope Severity Impact
Ongoing Minority (<50%) Negligible declines Low Impact: 4
Stresses
Species disturbance, Ecosystem degradation, Ecosystem conversion
Energy production & mining Renewable energy Timing Scope Severity Impact
Ongoing Minority (<50%) Negligible declines Low Impact: 4
Stresses
Species disturbance
Invasive and other problematic species, genes & diseases Invasive non-native/alien species/diseases - Neogobius melanostomus Timing Scope Severity Impact
Ongoing Minority (<50%) Unknown Unknown
Stresses
Competition
Invasive and other problematic species, genes & diseases Invasive non-native/alien species/diseases - Neovison vison Timing Scope Severity Impact
Ongoing Minority (<50%) Slow, Significant Declines Low Impact: 5
Stresses
Reduced reproductive success, Species mortality
Invasive and other problematic species, genes & diseases Viral/prion-induced diseases - Avian Influenza Virus (H5N1 subtype) Timing Scope Severity Impact
Future Minority (<50%) Rapid Declines Low Impact: 4
Stresses
Species mortality
Pollution Industrial & military effluents - Oil spills Timing Scope Severity Impact
Ongoing Majority (50-90%) Slow, Significant Declines Medium Impact: 6
Stresses
Indirect ecosystem effects, Ecosystem degradation, Reduced reproductive success, Species mortality
Pollution Industrial & military effluents - Type Unknown/Unrecorded Timing Scope Severity Impact
Ongoing Majority (50-90%) Negligible declines Low Impact: 5
Stresses
Indirect ecosystem effects, Reduced reproductive success, Species mortality

Utilisation
Purpose Scale
Pets/display animals, horticulture international
Sport hunting/specimen collecting subsistence, national

Recommended citation
BirdLife International (2024) Species factsheet: Velvet Scoter Melanitta fusca. Downloaded from https://datazone.birdlife.org/species/factsheet/velvet-scoter-melanitta-fusca on 27/12/2024.
Recommended citation for factsheets for more than one species: BirdLife International (2024) IUCN Red List for birds. Downloaded from https://datazone.birdlife.org/species/search on 27/12/2024.