AUC: 0.9832, O:48.1, R:81.5
The above map shows the simulated distribution of Hartlaub's Gull ( hartlaubii) for 2085 based on projected future climate change. The map is generated by relating the species's current range to current climate and then projecting this relationship onto future climate simulations. This projected future range is based on climate simulations produced by the Hadley Centre (HADCM3 model using the B2a scenario of future greenhouse gas emissions).
See Hole et al. 2009 for further information.
BirdLife International's Climate Change Programme
Case studies on climate change from State of the World's Birds
IPCC Assessment reports
Return to "Projecting the impacts of climate change"
The modelling and mapping work presented here was undertaken at Durham University with funding from RSPB and using bird range data provided by the Zoological Museum, University of Copenhagen. The MacArthur Foundation funded the production of these maps on this web-page. Improved presentation of these resources was facilitated through support by the GEF. Anyone wishing to use these maps for any purpose should contact Dr Stephen G. Willis in the School of Biological and Biomedical Sciences at Durham University.
BirdLife International and Durham University (2009) Species climate-change impacts factsheet: hartlaubii. Downloaded from http://datazone.birdlife.org/species/climatechangemaps on 3rd June 2023.